Friday, August 16, 2013

Statistics

I love playing with statistics - you can make them say all sorts of things, but there's no disputing them in their simplest form. Of the nine horses born in 2010 that I'd invested in, two retired early on - Quadrille, who had a best finish of seventh place in JRA racing, and Fairy Robe, who got a third in NAR.

Taking these out of the equation, as we can't be sure what results would have come their way (there was a good chance Fairy Robe would have done the business), we are left with seven horses from the 2010 vintage. Thanks to 'Misto', we have over half of them as winners - Tenshinramman, with two JRA wins so far, and one JRA victory apiece for Harmony Fair, Miracle Rouge and Mistoffelees.

Now we need something to happen with Lourdes No Hitomi (who always seems to finish fifth!), Mosto Verde (with a best of seventh place so far), and Quick Bread (with eighth as his best result to date). I have to say that I think Lourdes No Hitomi will be worth watching in her next outing, and then we'll be at a 71% win rate. For today, I'm happy that we moved up to 57%...

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